Who Let the Gas Out
Hook
| Questions | Procedures
| Data Investigation | Analysis
| Findings | New Questions
Student
Page
By
Dave Fogliatti
Ryan Gallagher
Hook
Are GAS Prices too high?
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How
do gas prices today compare to the price over the last 10 years?
Are they higher, lower or about
the same?
Take 5 min and scan the net. Look for the
highest gas price in the United States. Look for the lowest.
What state or city has the highest gas prices? Lowest?
Are you surprised? What makes something valuable?
need
desire
scarcity
availability
Are we in an Oil crises?
At are current oil consumption rates are we going to run out?
What can we do to stop this?
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in PowerPoint
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Questions
Below
are questions a teacher sahoud pose during the hook
presentation and discussion
afterward.
- Based only on the oil reserves in the United States and current
US oil consumption rates when would the US run out
of oil if the US did not import any?
- Deterine how much oil each person in the US uses per year?
Has then value been stradily increasing, decreasing, or staying
constant over the last 30 years
- How can you predict future
oil comsumption in the united States for the next 50 years?
Other
Future Questions
- Why is the US so relieant on foreign oil?
- What is the importantance of worldwide oil resereves?
- Who has the largest oil reserves and who uses the most oil?
- Based on worldwide oil reserves and
consumption when should the world reach an oil crisis?
- What alternatives are available to decrese American's comsumption and depence on oil?
Procedures
After students
have asked questions related to the topic, they will need to decide a
number of things, including:
Type(s) of Data
Required for Research
US and worldwide population data and predicted US population growth
US and worldwide oil reserves
US and worldwide oil comsumption rates
Price
of oil per barrel/gallon
Important
Terms
comsumption
- the utilization of economic goods in the satisfaction of wants
or in the process of production resulting chiefly in their destruction,
deterioration, or transformation
natural resource - Materials that are obtained
from the earth, such as petroleum, coal, and water and are essential
or useful to humans.
finite
resource - Materials that are obtained
from the earth that exist in limited quantities and
can not be replentished
fossil
fuels - Nonrenewable, naturally-occurring fuels from ORGANIC MATTER.
The altered remains of once-living organisms that are burned to release
ENERGY. Examples are coal, oil and natural gas. It takes millions
of years to form fossil fuels
curve
fitting, best fit line - a mthematical equation for a line that is
determined by minimizing the distacne between each point of the data
being fit
exponential
growth - Exponential growth occurs when some quantity increases
by a fixed percentage over a given time period
oil reserves - the predicted amount of oil located
in geographical region
census - a count of the population in an area
Investigation
Tool(s)
Excel
to graph, plot and fit population data, oil reserves, oil comsumption
Internet access
to obtain information
At least 1 computer per 2 students
Manipulating Data
Determine average US oil comsumption per person for previous 50 years.
Graphing US population over at least 100 years
Curve fitting US population using excel to predict future US population for next 50 years
Based on average US oil comsumption per person and US population growth determine how longUS oil reserves will last
Expand analysis
to worldwide oil reserves, comsumption, population growth using pie
charts by region to show
worlwdie production and consumption rates for oil. Determine
how many days left at current consumption rate until we consume all
estimated
worldwide oil reserves based on constant oil comsumption rate per
person.
Data
Investigation
List of Web Resources Availalbe on topic:
US Population Data Website
http://www.factmonster.com/ipka/A0774780.html
US Census
http://www.census.gov/
British Petroleum (Large Excel Data File Available)
http://www.bp.com/home.do see
http://www.bp.com/subsection.do?categoryId=95&contentId=2006480
Price of Barrel of Oil 1973 - 200
http://strata.geol.sc.edu/petroleum/petroleum.html
Location of World's Oil Reserves
http://www.geocomplexity.net/Global_hydrocarbs.htm
Site dedicated to exploring the possibility
of a pending oil crisis
http://www.oilcrisis.com/
Analysis
and Findings
Link
to Analysis and Findings Page
Findings
- Based only on the oil reserves
in the United States and current US oil consumption rates when would
the US run out of oil if the US did not import any?
The US would run out of oil in 2010 based on current consumption rates
and the oil reserves in the US.
- Deterine how much oil each person
in the US uses per year? Has then value been stradily increasing,
decreasing, or staying constant over the last 30 years?
Over the last thirty years the consumption of oil per person
has been roughly constant at 15 barrels per year.
- How can you predict future oil
comsumption in the united States for the next 50 years?
Based on out fit to the population data in the US from 1790
to 2002 we can predict population growth out to 2050. If we assume
each person will use 15 barrels of oil per year we can calculate future
oil consumption. (see analysis section above)
Possible
New Questions
Below
are questions that students or teachers may want to find answers
for after completing the project.
- Who has the largest oil reserves
and who uses the most oil?
- How much oil does the US import per year?
- Where does the imported oil for the US come from?
See http://www.eia.doe.gov/neic/rankings/crudebycountry.htm
- Based on worldwide oil reserves
and consumption when should the world reach an oil crisis?
- What alternatives are available
to decrese American's comsumption and depence on oil?
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