Who Let the Gas Out

Hook | Questions | Procedures | Data Investigation | Analysis | Findings | New Questions

Student Page

By

Dave Fogliatti

Ryan Gallagher


Hook

Are GAS Prices too high?

 

How do gas prices today compare to the price over the last 10 years? Are they higher, lower or about the same?

Take 5 min and scan the net. Look for the highest gas price in the United States. Look for the lowest.

What state or city has the highest gas prices? Lowest?
Are you surprised?

What makes something valuable?
need
desire
scarcity
availability

Are we in an Oil crises?

At are current oil consumption rates are we going to run out?

What can we do to stop this?

Download link to entire hook presentation in PowerPoint

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Questions

Below are questions a teacher sahoud pose during the hook presentation and discussion afterward.

  1. Based only on the oil reserves in the United States and current US oil consumption rates when would the US run out of oil if the US did not import any?
  2. Deterine how much oil each person in the US uses per year? Has then value been stradily increasing, decreasing, or staying constant over the last 30 years
  3. How can you predict future oil comsumption in the united States for the next 50 years?

Other Future Questions

  1. Why is the US so relieant on foreign oil?
  2. What is the importantance of worldwide oil resereves?
  3. Who has the largest oil reserves and who uses the most oil?
  4. Based on worldwide oil reserves and consumption when should the world reach an oil crisis?
  5. What alternatives are available to decrese American's comsumption and depence on oil?

Procedures

After students have asked questions related to the topic, they will need to decide a number of things, including:

Type(s) of Data Required for Research

US and worldwide population data and predicted US population growth

US and worldwide oil reserves

US and worldwide oil comsumption rates

Price of oil per barrel/gallon

Important Terms

comsumption - the utilization of economic goods in the satisfaction of wants or in the process of production resulting chiefly in their destruction, deterioration, or transformation

natural resource - Materials that are obtained from the earth, such as petroleum, coal, and water and are essential or useful to humans.

finite resource - Materials that are obtained from the earth that exist in limited quantities and can not be replentished

fossil fuels - Nonrenewable, naturally-occurring fuels from ORGANIC MATTER. The altered remains of once-living organisms that are burned to release ENERGY. Examples are coal, oil and natural gas. It takes millions of years to form fossil fuels

curve fitting, best fit line - a mthematical equation for a line that is determined by minimizing the distacne between each point of the data being fit

exponential growth - Exponential growth occurs when some quantity increases by a fixed percentage over a given time period

oil reserves - the predicted amount of oil located in geographical region

census - a count of the population in an area

Investigation Tool(s)

Excel to graph, plot and fit population data, oil reserves, oil comsumption

Internet access to obtain information

At least 1 computer per 2 students

Manipulating Data

Determine average US oil comsumption per person for previous 50 years.

Graphing US population over at least 100 years

Curve fitting US population using excel to predict future US population for next 50 years

Based on average US oil comsumption per person and US population growth determine how longUS oil reserves will last

Expand analysis to worldwide oil reserves, comsumption, population growth using pie charts by region to show worlwdie production and consumption rates for oil.   Determine how many days left at current consumption rate until we consume all estimated worldwide oil reserves based on constant oil comsumption rate per person.


Data Investigation

List of Web Resources Availalbe on topic:

US Population Data Website

http://www.factmonster.com/ipka/A0774780.html

US Census

http://www.census.gov/

British Petroleum (Large Excel Data File Available)

http://www.bp.com/home.do     see

http://www.bp.com/subsection.do?categoryId=95&contentId=2006480

Price of Barrel of Oil 1973 - 200

http://strata.geol.sc.edu/petroleum/petroleum.html

Location of World's Oil Reserves

http://www.geocomplexity.net/Global_hydrocarbs.htm

Site dedicated to exploring the possibility of a pending oil crisis

http://www.oilcrisis.com/


Analysis and Findings

Link to Analysis and Findings Page


Findings

  • Based only on the oil reserves in the United States and current US oil consumption rates when would the US run out of oil if the US did not import any?

The US would run out of oil in 2010 based on current consumption rates and the oil reserves in the US.

  • Deterine how much oil each person in the US uses per year? Has then value been stradily increasing, decreasing, or staying constant over the last 30 years?

Over the last thirty years the consumption of oil per person has been roughly constant at 15 barrels per year.

  • How can you predict future oil comsumption in the united States for the next 50 years?

Based on out fit to the population data in the US from 1790 to 2002 we can predict population growth out to 2050. If we assume each person will use 15 barrels of oil per year we can calculate future oil consumption. (see analysis section above)

 


Possible New Questions

Below are questions that students or teachers may want to find answers for after completing the project.

  • Who has the largest oil reserves and who uses the most oil?
  • How much oil does the US import per year?
  • Where does the imported oil for the US come from?
    See http://www.eia.doe.gov/neic/rankings/crudebycountry.htm
  • Based on worldwide oil reserves and consumption when should the world reach an oil crisis?
  • What alternatives are available to decrese American's comsumption and depence on oil?